Validation Log
When MAD predictions reach their verify date, GNI automatically scores each agent's directional accuracy against real-world outcomes. The Validation Log will surface which agents (Bull, Bear, Black Swan, Ostrich) were right, which were wrong, and what patterns emerge in their accuracy over time. This is the foundation of the GPVS feedback loop — transforming past predictions into future intelligence improvements.
- •Per-agent accuracy scores across all verified predictions
- •Directional accuracy by time horizon (7d / 30d / 180d)
- •Source weight adjustments triggered by prediction outcomes
- •Surprise outcome detection — when reality defied all agents
- •GPVS scorecard exportable for IEEE paper evidence
This page requires verified prediction data from the GPVS system. The earliest MAD predictions were made in March 2026 with verify dates starting April 14, 2026. As predictions verify over time, this page will automatically populate with real accuracy data. No manual intervention is needed — GNI's autonomous pipeline handles verification and scoring automatically.